Study-unit STATISTICAL COMPUTING METHODS

Course name Finance and quantitative methods for economics
Study-unit Code A000208
Location PERUGIA
Curriculum Statistical data science for finance and economics
Lecturer Francesco Bartolucci
CFU 12
Course Regulation Coorte 2023
Supplied 2024/25
Supplied other course regulation
Type of study-unit Obbligatorio (Required)
Type of learning activities Attività formativa integrata
Partition

MOD. I STATISTICAL COMPUTING

Code A000209
Location PERUGIA
CFU 6
Lecturer Silvia Pandolfi
Lecturers
  • Silvia Pandolfi
Hours
  • 42 ore - Silvia Pandolfi
Learning activities Affine/integrativa
Area Attività formative affini o integrative
Sector SECS-S/01
Type of study-unit Obbligatorio (Required)
Language of instruction English
Contents Numerical and advanced statistical methods will be presented starting from real case studies and analyzed using the R language.
Reference texts Braun, W.J., and Murdoch, D.J. (2007). A First Course in Statistical Programming with R, Cambridge University Press.

Jones, O., Maillardet, R. and Robinson, A. (2009). Introduction to Scientific Programming and Simulation Using R, Chapman & Hall/CRC.

Rizzo, M. L. (2008). Statistical Computing with R, Chapman & Hall/CRC.

Voss, J. (2013). An Introduction to Statistical Computing, John Wiley & Sons.

McLachlan, G. and Peel. D. (2004). Finite Mixture Models, John Wiley & Sons.

Other materials made available to students attending classes.
Educational objectives After completing the course, the student will be able to implement and apply appropriate numerical methods and statistical tools to real problems with the R software.
Prerequisites The course introduces advanced topics in statistical computing. Prior knowledge of the fundamental concepts of statistics and probability will be assumed. In addition, a basic knowledge of the R software is required for laboratory activities.
Teaching methods Lectures and lab sessions with the R software.
Other information For information about services for students with disabilities and /or DSA visit the page http://www.unipg.it/disabilita-e-dsa
Learning verification modality Take-home written exams to be done in R. Final oral exam about the topics of the course.
The lab sessions are aimed at assessing the student's ability in implementing the methodologies introduced during the course. The final exam is aimed at assessing the level of knowledge reached by the student with respect to computational and methodological aspects covered by the course.
Extended program The course introduces numerical methods and advanced topics in statistical computation that are used in many fields, such as finance and economy, data mining, and social sciences. Real case studies will be analyzed using the R software.
A selection of topics included is:
- Monte Carlo Simulations
- Monte Carlo Integration
- Numerical optimization techniques
- Latent variable models: finite mixture models, latent class models, hidden Markov models
- EM Algorithm
- Bootstrap Inference

MOD. II BAYESIAN COMPUTING

Code A000210
Location PERUGIA
CFU 6
Lecturer Francesco Bartolucci
Lecturers
  • Francesco Bartolucci
Hours
  • 42 ore - Francesco Bartolucci
Learning activities Affine/integrativa
Area Attività formative affini o integrative
Sector SECS-S/01
Type of study-unit Obbligatorio (Required)
Language of instruction English
Contents
The module gives the first notions of Bayesian inference and an illustration of the main algorithms for the application of Bayesian inferential methods for data analysis.
Reference texts
Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., and Rubin, D. B. (2020). Bayesian data analysis. Chapman and Hall/CRC.

Robert, C. (2007). The Bayesian choice: from decision-theoretic foundations to computational implementation. New York: Springer.

Robert, C. and Casella, G. (2010). Introducing Monte Carlo methods with R. New York: Springer.
Educational objectives
Students who successfully complete the module will possess the capability to implement algorithms of Bayesian inference for analysis of dataset of itermediate complexity.
Prerequisites
Basic courses of probability and statistics.
Teaching methods
Four/six hours of lectures including practical exercises on a weekly basis.
Other information
Students will use statistical software R.
Learning verification modality
Written and oral exam.
Extended program
- Review of principles of frequentist inference
- Principles of the Bayesian inferential approach in comparison to the frequentist approach
- Conjugate prior distributions
- Specific cases: Beta-Binomial, Dirichlet-Multinomial, Gamma-Poisson
- The case of Normal-Normal-Inverse Gamma and of linear regression
- Objective and Jeffreys priors
- Prediction, Confidence intervals and Hypothesis testing
- Computation of posterior distribution via deterministic approaches: quadrature method, Laplace approximation, EM algorithm
- Computation of posterior distribution via stochastic approaches: Monte Carlo method, Importance sampling, Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, Gibbs sampler, Reversible Jump algorithm
Obiettivi Agenda 2030 per lo sviluppo sostenibile
Quality education